June Investment Update from Perennial Investment Partners... 



Perennial Perspective

Monthly Investment Update for June 2007

 

Perennial Investment Partners

QUICK UPDATE

PERENNIAL INVESTOR'S INDEX

ECONOMIC UPDATE

AROUND THE BOUTIQUES

 

Aussie shares end with their best financial year returns since '87...meanwhile as June interest rates back up, markets back down for the month.

 

 

 

 

Another great 12 months !

 

 

 

The All Ords closed up 25.3% for the year, the best financial year since 1987 where the market closed up a whopping 49.5%. This time it is indeed different with 80% of the current four year bull market supported by earnings upgrades*. Just to remind us how different these periods have been, to the right is a comparison chart showing the 4 year boom to September '87 (before the crash) to the current 4 year bull market to end of June. As you can see in '87 the market was up + 213% compared to the current bull run where the market is up + 110%. 

*Source:  GSJB Were

Nowhere to hide in June

In June,  markets reacted to higher bond yields. Last month we highlighted the fact that investors were paying too little for equity risk and this was highlighted in the market's reaction to the significant rises in global interest rates (for instance 10 year rates have risen in the US from 4.6% in early May to 5.3% mid June and have since rallied back to around 5% today) causing all markets excepting cash to have a negative June  - you would have to go back over 7 years to January 2000 to find the last time all markets except cash were negative. Property Trusts had the most severe reaction, putting a brake on corporate activity.  There is plenty of liquidity in the market to support continued activity in the property sector and we expect that this is a short term hurdle in what is a good long term investment given the supportive fundamentals such as low securitisation and the flow of institutional monies into property globally. As I write this newsletter (3 July) the Global REIT market has already bounced back with the S&P REIT Index surging +2.6% overnight backed up by a very positive broker report.  

 

 

 

Comparing Bull Runs: Value of $100


Source:  IRIS

Brian Thomas

Head of Retail Funds Management

Perennial Investment Partners


 

PERENNIAL QUICK UPDATE 

 

Zero Fee offer ends 31 July 2007

We have been overwhelmed with positive feedback on our decison to pass on a real benefit to Perennial investors. Please remember that all net new investments into 24 of our Trusts will attract a zero fee for the next three months. For more information, please click here.

Navigator adds Perennial Growth and takes advantage of the zero fee offer

A quick look at the Navigator menu shows that this fund competes very well with the current growth style options on Navigator. The following table illustrates the tremendous performance of this boutique based on the Mercer survey to 31 May 2007:

 

1 Year (%)

3 Years (% p.a.) 

5 Years (% p.a.) 

 Perennial Growth Return

 33.2

31.6

 20.0

 Perennial Growth Quartile Ranking

 1st

 1st

 1st


Source: Mercer

Master Key Custom adds Perennial Global Property to their menu

Perennial's research driven, bottom-up style coupled with a zero fee offer makes this an attractive option for your clients. 

Perennial Global Shares High Alpha receives its first rating.

Morningstar has awarded this relatively new Fund an Investment Grade rating. Click here for a copy of the Morningstar report. Performance versus peers has been outstanding as shown below from the most recent Mercer survey:

 

1 Year (%)

3 Years (% p.a.)

 Perennial Global Shares High Alpha

 19.9

n/a

 CSAM International Shares

 9.5

11.1

 Platinum International Fund

 5.8

 10.8

 AXA Wholesale Global Equity

 9.5

 11.9


Source: Mercer


 

PERENNIAL INVESTORS INDEX 

 

It has been over 7 years since investors have faced a month with a negative return from all  the major asset classes , except cash. 
 
Over the longer term retail investors on average have experienced returns well ahead of inflation.

 

Source: Bloomberg and Perennial Investment Partners

Perennial Investors Index*  

 

 Conservative (%)

 Growth (%)

 High Growth (%)

 June-07

-0.67

-1.68

-1.74

 Year to Jun-07

8.43

15.01

18.28

 3 Years to Jun-07 p.a.

8.32

14.37

17.37

 5 Years to Jun-07 p.a.

7.06

10.41

11.82

 

 

Market Returns*

 

 Australian Assets (%)

International Assets (%)

 

 Shares

Listed Property 

Fixed Interest 

 Cash

International Shares 

Global Property 

 International Fixed Interest

Jun-07

-0.11

-4.78

-0.45

0.52

 -3.30

-7.28

-0.27

 Year to Jun-07

29.21

26.32

3.99

6.42

7.77

25.01

5.71

3 Years to Jun-07 p.a.

26.40

20.88

5.05

5.94

8.94

25.89

6.10

5 Years to Jun-07 p.a.

19.32

18.33

5.42

5.62

4.69

17.90

6.94

 * Click here for a summary of the indices used and the construction methodology for the Perennial Investors Index. The Perennial Investors Index is a general indication of how we believe investors would have performed in various indices and is not related to the management of any particular Perennial investment product.


JUNE'S STRATEGY AND ECONOMIC UPDATE 

Click here for our Investment Strategist, Frank Uhlenbruch's, latest update. 

 


 

PORTFOLIO UPDATE TO 30 JUNE - AROUND THE BOUTIQUES 

Each month we focus on portfolio developments across our six boutique businesses. A more detailed report on each Trust for the month ended June 30 will be available by the end of July on our website, www.perennial.net.au.  

PERENNIAL INTERNATIONAL EQUITIES MANAGEMENT - Managing Global Shares High Alpha, International Shares

This Month's Focus: Perennial Global Shares High Alpha Trust

Over the last 12 Months the performance has been nothing short of outstanding with a net return of 12.85% for the year ended June. During June, the Trust tracked just below the MSCI. Stock purchases during the month included Paramount Energy Trust (Canadian high yielding gas co.), Nexans SA (French cable manufacturer) and BJ Services (US supplier to the energy industry). Profits were taken in Hornbeck Offshore and Cameco (uranian miner). Whilst the Trust can raise significant Cash, Portfolio Manager Clay Carter believes equity returns will still outstrip bonds in the near term. Read more...

PERENNIAL INVESTMENT PARTNERS ASIA - Managing Asia ex Japan Shares, Japanese Shares

This Month's Focus: Perennial Asian Shares Wholesale Trust

The Trust outperformed its benchmark by 70bpts for the month. China was buoyed by new laws allowing mainland Chinese greater access to HK listed stocks. Taiwan was up on a more favourable view on technology stocks.  Read more...

PERENNIAL REAL ESTATE INVESTMENTS - Managing Global Property, Australian Property

This Month's Focus: Perennial Global Property Wholesale Trust

Only Singapore and Hong Kong had positive property returns with the hike in bond yields causing a major retreat in the US and European markets. The EPRA / NAREIT indexed - hedged fell by 7.28% and our portfolio suffered (down 8.9%) as some of the quality names we hold provide liquidity amongst the market turmoil and some specialist players we have high conviction in fell out of favour. Already the sector has bounced in July with US REITs rallying 2.5% on 2 July.  Read more...

PERENNIAL VALUE MANAGEMENT - Managing Value, Small Caps, High Yield
 

This Month's Focus: Perennial Value Shares Wholesale Trust

In a market where many value managers have struggled, it is great to see the Trust outperforming the index for the year. The team's holding in Incitec Pivot was again a strong contributor to performance and the stock has delivered the team a return of over 200% since they first invested in October 2006. Origin Energy and BHP also contributed to performance for the month.  Read more...

PERENNIAL GROWTH MANAGEMENT - Managing Growth, High Conviction, SRI

This Month's Focus:
Perennial Growth Australian Shares Wholesale Trust

Wesfarmers (up 20.6%) and Toll Holdings (up 9.9%) contributed to a well above index performance for the month (+96 bpts for June alone). The team sold JB Hi Fi and took profits in Alumina, Oil Search and BHP. Thinksmart was also added to the portfolio. Read more...

PERENNIAL FIXED INTEREST - Managing Australian, Diversified, Global Fixed Interest and Cash

 

This Month's Focus: Perennial Fixed Interest Wholesale Trust

Australian bond yields rose over June, following stronger economic news early in the month. Whilst yields subsequently fell on Reserve Bank Governor Stephens' inflation comments, they rose again to 6.26% for the end of the month (10 year government bonds). The Fixed Interest team added to their long duration position and saw value in state government debt. Read more...


WANT MORE INFORMATION?

Commentaries and Product Disclosure Statements for each of the Perennial Wholesale Trusts can be downloaded here, or by visiting the Perennial website, www.perennial.net.au. Information can also be provided upon request by calling 1300 730 032, or by emailing invest@perennial.net.au.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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